Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 9.740537e-05 1.153188e-04 0.000134 0.000156 0.000179 0.000204 0.000232
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.757091e-05 9.207980e-05 0.000120 0.000154 0.000193 0.000236 0.000287
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.952290e-05 7.600523e-05 0.000108 0.000149 0.000198 0.000254 0.000322
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.790192e-05 6.527000e-05 0.000101 0.000147 0.000205 0.000273 0.000357
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.883558e-05 5.603229e-05 0.000093 0.000144 0.000210 0.000288 0.000387
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.470782e-05 5.290709e-05 0.000093 0.000150 0.000225 0.000316 0.000432
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.827131e-05 4.499350e-05 0.000086 0.000145 0.000226 0.000325 0.000455
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.498021e-05 4.146695e-05 0.000084 0.000148 0.000236 0.000346 0.000491
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.113725e-05 3.604499e-05 0.000078 0.000145 0.000238 0.000357 0.000514
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.063314e-06 3.119409e-05 0.000073 0.000142 0.000240 0.000367 0.000537
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.994842e-06 2.513841e-05 0.000065 0.000134 0.000234 0.000367 0.000546
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.235686e-06 2.131232e-05 0.000061 0.000130 0.000234 0.000374 0.000564
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.935717e-06 1.845210e-05 0.000058 0.000132 0.000245 0.000398 0.000611
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.142465e-07 1.475233e-05 0.000054 0.000130 0.000251 0.000418 0.000652
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.943125e-07 1.114556e-05 0.000048 0.000126 0.000252 0.000431 0.000683
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.670253e-08 8.729047e-06 0.000045 0.000124 0.000257 0.000449 0.000722
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.586834e-06 0.000041 0.000121 0.000261 0.000464 0.000757
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.015962e-06 0.000041 0.000127 0.000277 0.000497 0.000816
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.204644e-06 0.000037 0.000122 0.000277 0.000507 0.000844
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.489351e-06 0.000036 0.000125 0.000287 0.000532 0.000893
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.421283e-06 0.000033 0.000122 0.000290 0.000545 0.000925
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.585330e-06 0.000030 0.000119 0.000292 0.000558 0.000956
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.496275e-07 0.000025 0.000112 0.000285 0.000557 0.000970